Enforcing calibration in ensemble postprocessing

Wilks, DS

Wilks, DS (reprint author), Cornell Univ, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2018; 144 (710): 76

Abstract

Desirable attributes of probability forecasts are maximal sharpness, consistent with calibration (reliability'). The usual procedure of optimizing ens......

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